Trading during a market selloff can be challenging, especially when prices fall sharply over several consecutive sessions. Fear increases, volatility expands, and traders often feel pressured to make quick decisions. However, a major decline can also create opportunities for traders who remain patient, manage risk, and read the market structure as it develops. In this […]
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Trading Risks Hidden in Probability
Trading risks hidden in probability are often misunderstood in the world of trading probabilities and backtesting. We begin by breaking down the difference between theoretical/statistical probability and contextual/situational probability, focusing on what most traders rely on: theoretical probability. John explains how traders use tools like option Delta to estimate probabilities and why these estimates might […]
